February 20, 2007
Putin's speech at kremlin.ru, and some other Russia links.
The complete text of Putin's recent remarkable
speech in Munich is up at the Kremlin's site,
kremlin.ru, including all of the answers to the many questions he was asked after the speech. I posted on it before, and I still think it was quite an extraordinary and important speech. The discussion after it is noteworthy as well.
First time I ever stumbled on the Kremlin's site, very interesting. More like a presidential site, but that's about the same as the White House site in the US. Here or there, it's always about the politicians, and the cult of personality. There's a lot of material there though, and quite a bit of it in English.
Add: nice
article on Putin and Russia in the Guardian, suggesting that the Europeans and Americans may regret their continuous bullying of Russia.
When Putin sought to join Nato in the 1990s he was rebuffed. Then Nato broke its post-cold-war promise and advanced its frontier through the Baltics and Poland to the Black Sea. It is now planning missile defences in Poland and the Czech Republic and is flirting with Ukraine and Georgia. Against whom is this directed, asks Putin.
The west grovels before Opec, but when Putin proposes a gas Opec it cries foul. America seizes Iraq's oil, but when Putin nationalises Russia's oil that, too, is a foul. Meanwhile, every crook, every murdered Russian, every army scandal is blazoned across the western press. True, Russia is still a klepto-oligarchy that steps back as often as forward, but what of America's pet Asian democracies, Afghanistan and Iraq?
In his Munich speech Putin asked why America constantly goes on about its "unipolar world". Does Washington really seek a second cold war? Russia is withdrawing from Georgia and Moldova. Why is Nato advancing bases in Bulgaria and Romania? The west is handling Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Iran with the arrogance and ineptitude of 19th-century imperialists. Is it surprising Russia is seeking allies where it can, in China, India, Iran and the Gulf?
At an Anglo-Russian conference in Moscow last weekend I was bemused by the talk of a return to "east-west" confrontation. Diplomats have a habit of listing complaints like marriage counsellors inviting couples to catalogue what most irritates them about each other. The list seems endless, but it surely points to a proper talk rather than a divorce. Don't they really need each other after all?
Having visited Russia three times since the demise of the Soviet Union, I remain impressed by its progress. Debate and comment are open. Russia is not squandering its energy wealth but setting $100bn aside in an infrastructure fund. The links between Russia and western business are worth $30bn in inward investment. Cultural and educational contacts are strengthening. Moscow and St Petersburg are booming world cities, their skylines thick with cranes.
If you want more, the
Asia Times has some good recent articles on Russia. One by M. K. Bhadrakumar
entitled
Russia straddles Sunni-Shi'ite divide, discusses how Russia has been having more success with its diplomacy in the Middle East than the US has had using force. Another one by Nicolai Petro entitled
Russia as friend, not foe, is a very good article which details the many ways Russia has made progress since the end of the Cold War, and why the Euro-Americans can't seem to stop insisting that it's the same old Russia. And there's one by Spengler, who is a bit dogmatic and right-wing for my taste, entitled
Russia's hudna with the Muslim world, which discusses relations, both now and historically, between Russia and the Islamic world.
Petro's article is particularly good. He gives numerous examples of how what is reported about Russia by the Euro-American press is not matched by the reality inside Russia itself. In a number of areas: democracy, the media, Chechnya, the economy and so on. Sometimes what he reports is quite surprising.
One could go on and on, but these examples should suffice to provide a sense of the hurdles that even the most thoughtful and well-informed media consumers face when trying to understand the changes that have taken place in Russia since Putin took office. I will not even mention Russia's economic miracle - eight straight years of economic growth that have led to a fivefold increase in GDP, except to highlight one telling point. It astonishes people to learn that return on foreign investment in Russia is an order of magnitude higher than in China, and that foreign companies that invested in Russia have outperformed those that invested in China every year since 2001.
The fact that China is widely regarded as a more attractive investment opportunity than Russia despite yielding much lower profits, having more corruption and far less political freedom, and facing enormous future political uncertainties testifies amply to the role that media-fed cultural preconceptions play in relations with Russia.
One good thing about the Asia Times is that they publish relatively long and detailed articles, more than the quick soundbites you get from the western media, and ones that offer up some informed and educated historical perspective, something sadly lacking in the Euro-American media.
permalink, posted by mike on Tuesday, February 20, 2007 at 03:39 PM
February 10, 2005
Russia plans arms sales to Venezuela.
A
Washington Times article reports that Russia is moving ahead with plans to sell arms to Venezuela, despite US objections. The initial sale is of AK-47 rifles plus ammunition, with more expected to follow.
Venezuela is setting up some new military units, and otherwise arming to defend against an expected American invasion. It also has been moving to help organize other Latin American governments to do the same.
While Russia seems to be moving vigorously to help contain America, recently offering arms to and making security agreements with India, China, and Iran, among others. But given the history of US relations with Latin America and of the Monroe Doctrine, under which the US has always vigoroously opposed any foreign involvement in the Americas (other than its own, of course), it is an especially extraordinary move, and highlights the degree to which the US has lost influence in the region.
Mr. Alvarez, the Venezuelan ambassador, said what Washington officials are calling militias are actually new army reserve units.
"It will be under the control of the military," he said.
The new units are not Washington's only worry. Mr. Chavez's rhetoric is increasingly anti-U.S. and pro-revolution. He has further nationalized Venezuela's oil industry and restricted press freedom.
Mr. Chavez is also planning to build an ammunition factory. Again, the U.S. fear is that the ammunition will find its way to leftist revolutionaries.
The arms deal with Russia does not call only for AK-47s. Russia will also supply MiG-29 fighters and attack helicopters. Additionally, U.S. intelligence believes the AK-47 buy may eventually reach 300,000 rifles.
Beyond diplomacy, however, there are not many options for Washington. Mr. Chavez is democratically elected. And his country's huge oil reserves make it the No. 4 provider to the United States.
"Chavez has shut off a lot of our options. We're very susceptible to a shut off of oil by Chavez," the U.S. official said.
Mr. Chavez has talked of establishing an Al Jazeera-style news network in Venezuela that would reach all of Latin American. Some Pentagon officials considers the Qatar-based Arab-language channel a propaganda arm of al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden.
But Mr. Chavez appeared on Al Jazeera in December and called the station "a symbol of courage, principles and dignity." He added, according to the British Broadcasting Corp.: "It always tells the truth." He expressed support for the Iraqi insurgents attacking American forces.
Be aware that the Washington Times is an extremely right-wing paper, one owned I believe by the Reverend Syung Moon, and vigorously anti-Communist. They consider Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez to be in alliance with Cuba's Fidel Castro and other Latin American "Marxists", with a plan to overthrow democracies and establish dictatorships. Despite the fact that Chavez himself is quite democratically elected, several times now, and despite the fact that it is the US which has the history of overthrowing democratically elected governments in the area (Chile and Nicaragua, for instance). So take their analysis with more than a few grains of salt.
Given their bias however, it is notable that they note that the US really needs Venezuelan oil, and that this gives the Venezuelans substantial leverage in the matter. Mostly the conservative media tries to hide the fact that the US has become increasingly dependent on foreign money and products to help prop up its rapidly aging house of cards.
The news that the Venezuelans are trying to set up an Al-Jazeera type of news media in Latin America is new to me. A rather interesting development. Al-Jazeera is turning into quite a reliable source of information, much more so than the American media at least.
permalink, posted by mike on Thursday, February 10, 2005 at 10:29 AM
May 14, 2004
Russians eliminate prison terms for drug possession.
The Moscow Times
reports new laws have gone into effect which reduce drug possession, at least in limited amounts, to an administrative infraction rather than a criminal offense. That's a big step forward in restoring civil liberties there, and once again shows how the rest of the world is moving ahead of the US in this area.
Under a new law that came into effect this week, drug users can possess a greatly increased amount of an illegal substance -- for instance, 20 grams of marijuana or 1.5 grams of cocaine -- without the risk of being thrown in jail.
The law has been criticized by the Federal Anti-Drug Service, which says it hampers the battle against drugs, but praised by those who work to rehabilitate drug addicts, who predict more addicts will now seek help.
President Vladimir Putin signed an amendment to the Criminal Code in December stipulating that possession of no more than 10 times the amount of a "single dose" would now be considered an administrative infraction rather than a criminal offense. Punishment would be a fine of no more than 40,000 rubles ($1,380) or community service.
It then took five months to hammer out what would be considered the single dose of various drugs.
Ten times the amount of a single dose, as set in the government resolution that came into effect Wednesday, is 20 grams of marijuana, 5 grams of hashish, mescaline or opium, 1.5 grams of cocaine, 1 gram of heroin or methamphetamine, and 0.003 grams of LSD.
Anyone caught in possession of these amounts or less cannot legally be detained, a spokeswoman for the Moscow branch of the Federal Anti-Drug Service said. Instead, a report will be filed and the fine will be determined by a court.
The
Moscow Times puts articles behind a paywall after a couple of weeks, so the link to the article won't be valid after a while.
permalink, posted by mike on Friday, May 14, 2004 at 03:16 PM
December 17, 2003
Russian economy booming, no WTO needed.
The
Moscow Times reports
Forget WTO, Economy Just Fine. Apparently the Russian economy is doing so well that it really doesn't need the WTO any more, and can wait until it can join on its own terms. They see themselves as duplicating Chinese success in the near future, and aren't willing to kowtow to EU demands.
Forget about Russia's troubled bid for membership in the World Trade Organization -- the economy is healthy and set to keep on growing next year.
That's the message coming from some of the country's leading economists from the Association of Independent Centers for Economic Analysis.
"Economic growth has exceeded all our expectations," Yevsei Gurvich, head of the Finance Ministry's Economic Expert Group, said Wednesday.
The government has upped its forecast for economic expansion in 2003 to about 6.7 percent, marking the fifth consecutive year of growth. Originally it had predicted the economy would grow just 4.5 percent this year.
Consistently high oil prices played a large role in buoying the economy, although some economists argue that the country is diversifying and becoming less dependent on oil exports.
"Next year will be very similar to this year, according to our forecasts," Gurvich said. "And this is good for all of us as Russian citizens."
The continuing surge of growth, combined with qualitative changes in the economy, is making the country's stalled application for WTO membership less urgent at the moment, the economists said.
Furthermore, entry into the organization is unrealistic for another four to five years anyway.
Currently the country is at loggerheads with the European Union, which as a precondition for WTO membership is demanding that Moscow stop subsidizing energy prices.
"It is hard to imagine that [Russia] would accept that," said Leonid Grigoryev, president of the economic analysis umbrella group AICEA.
Instead of bending to demands from the EU or the United States, Russia should wait until it can join on its own terms, said Andrei Klepach, director of Development Center, an independent analytical group.
"We will enter the WTO ... but not because we satisfied their demands. The key factor will be that our economy will become as attractive and interesting to them as China's," Klepach said.
[By staff writer Alla Startseva.]
I think it's really interesting given the recent problems the eastern European nations are having settling on terms for the EU, and given how stagnant the French and German economies are. The main reason for giving up their sovereignty and joining the EU would be the economic benefits, but they might start thinking that the trade and benefits are to the east now. Which is a major historical shift for those countries. If France and Germany can put aside their great enmity, then the eastern countries and Russian could as well.
permalink, posted by mike on Wednesday, December 17, 2003 at 02:30 PM
September 25, 2003
Russian economy growing rapidly.
Reuters
reports in the
Moscow Times that Russia's economy is expected grow at a rate exceeding 6% in the first nine months of 2003. Which is even more impressive than it sounds, since that's over the 2002 rate, which itself was quite good.
The nation's gross domestic product is expected to rise 6.3 percent in the first nine months of the year compared with a 4.0 percent increase in the same period of 2002, the Economic Development and Trade Ministry said Wednesday.
The ministry, which targets economic growth of 5.9 percent for the full year 2003, said Tuesday that the economy had risen by 6.6 percent in the first eight months of the year.
The economy powered ahead 7.0 percent in the first half of the year thanks to booming oil exports, mounting investment amid record low interest rates and robust domestic demand.
The ministry has said growth is likely to slow down to about 5 percent in the second half after global prices for crude ease, while higher growth rates seen in the second half of 2002 make year-on-year comparisons less impressive.
The ministry also said in an economic outlook released on its official web site, www.economy.gov.ru, that it had revised upward its forecast of industrial output growth to 6.4 percent this year from a previous estimate of 5.9 percent.
permalink, posted by mike on Thursday, September 25, 2003 at 01:12 PM
End of entries.